{
  "signal": "internet-assertions",
  "as_of": "2026-06-14",
  "by_category": [
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "n": 497,
      "correct": 146,
      "accuracy_pct": 29.4
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "n": 264,
      "correct": 99,
      "accuracy_pct": 37.5
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "n": 182,
      "correct": 104,
      "accuracy_pct": 57.1
    },
    {
      "category": "Erosion",
      "n": 103,
      "correct": 23,
      "accuracy_pct": 22.3
    },
    {
      "category": "Yield",
      "n": 101,
      "correct": 77,
      "accuracy_pct": 76.2
    },
    {
      "category": "Growth",
      "n": 45,
      "correct": 10,
      "accuracy_pct": 22.2
    },
    {
      "category": "Tax",
      "n": 32,
      "correct": 13,
      "accuracy_pct": 40.6
    }
  ],
  "sample_assertions": [
    {
      "category": "Erosion",
      "ticker": "TTD",
      "assertion": "SBC se est\u00e1 comiendo el 100% del [earnings/value]",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "True"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "ARK's Price Target for Tesla in 2025 is $3,000 Per Share",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "ARK predicts an 85% chance of Tesla launching robotaxis by 2026",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "My model predicts 7.1 million EVs in 2026",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "$10k around 2027 is likely to happen",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "ARK's Expected Value For Tesla In 2026: $4,600 per Share",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "IAU, GLD",
      "assertion": "15% Oro (como sea: realmente f\u00edsico, ETFs de IAU/Gld, alquiler)",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': -20.810559967000096, 'b': 28.33497536945812}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VIG, VTI, VOO",
      "assertion": "VIG has basically the same characteristics as VOO, and is more expensive than VTI due to weights in companies like apple and Microsoft",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 6.115140525838626, 'b': 23.00454948625758}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "AMD, NVDA",
      "assertion": "AMD est\u00e1 cotizando a ~155 veces sus ganancias despu\u00e9s de una ca\u00edda enorme, mientras que NVIDIA cotiza a 31x",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "AMD, NVDA, ADBE",
      "assertion": "AMD y NVDA b\u00e1sicamente les robaron participaci\u00f3n de mercado",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "QQQM, QQQ",
      "assertion": "QQQM es QQQ con un ratio de gastos m\u00e1s bajo",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 35.49364389377326}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "NVDA, AMD",
      "assertion": "Nvidia is now chasing AMD, attempting to launch its own CPUs",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 48.87762374301691, 'b': 294.2410103691049}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "AMD",
      "assertion": "AMD's price has massively decoupled from expectations",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "294.2410103691049"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "VOO",
      "assertion": "when I recommend ETFs, it is mainly because of the past performance of that ETF",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "23.48621713973409"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "AMD, INTC",
      "assertion": "analysts are optimistic about continued share gains in server CPUs against Intel",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "294.2410103691049"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "AMD, NVDA",
      "assertion": "AMD to emerge as the clear #2 player in data center GPUs behind Nvidia",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "294.2410103691049"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "AMD, NVDA",
      "assertion": "AMD has more explosive revenue and profit growth",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "AMD, NVDA",
      "assertion": "NVDA has significantly more cash assets and goodwill",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "SCHD, JEPI",
      "assertion": "SCHD has a better capital appreciation chance long-term",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "28.59243128140454"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "SCHD, SPY",
      "assertion": "SCHD est\u00e1 inusualmente un 10% por arriba del S&P500 en lo que va del a\u00f1o",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 28.59243128140454, 'b': 25.5941808339677}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "JEPQ, QQQI",
      "assertion": "yo considerar\u00eda QQQI si es una cuenta imponible",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 22.664376138741616, 'b': 25.505188692243706}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SCHD, SCHG",
      "assertion": "SCHD is better suited for people who are already close to retirement and want dividend income, not for young people",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SCHG, SCHD",
      "assertion": "SCHG is more risky than SCHD",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SCHD, JEPI",
      "assertion": "If you're still far from retirement, you can flip it around and put 60 percent into SCHD and then 40 into JEPI",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "SCHD, JEPI",
      "assertion": "your underlying investment value in SCHD will outpace that of JEPI, especially given the difference in expense ratios",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VUG, VOOG",
      "assertion": "VUG is a little more diversified than VOOG",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 8.908781719347814, 'b': 11.470892180502931}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VOO, VUG",
      "assertion": "If you want to lean more towards growth from a balanced VOO, it is logical to add VUG on top of VOO",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VOO, VUG, QQQ",
      "assertion": "Many people add VUG (or QQQ) on top of VOO for growth purposes",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Erosion",
      "ticker": "VUG",
      "assertion": "Be careful with historical returns as VUG has switched its benchmark a handful of times over the years",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "False"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "AMD",
      "assertion": "300% de ganancias en mi inversi\u00f3n en AMD",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "294.2410103691049"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "NVDA, AMD",
      "assertion": "Ni siquiera he ganado la mitad de beneficios con Nvidia de los que he sacado con AMD",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 48.87762374301691, 'b': 294.2410103691049}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "SCHD",
      "assertion": "SCHD had decent growth of 1-2% per month",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "0.0"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VTI, VXUS",
      "assertion": "VTI has more technology exposure than VXUS",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "JAAA, CLOZ, DIVO",
      "assertion": "JAAA, CLOZ, DIVO, JEPI, SCHD have lower beta than the S&P 500",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': -0.23673308344842092, 'b': 0.19047619047619319}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "QQQM, QQQ",
      "assertion": "QQQM follows the same Nasdaq 100 index but costs 15 basis points",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 35.49364389377326}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "VOO",
      "assertion": "VOO net return is 9.97% after expenses",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "23.48621713973409"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "JEPI, SCHD",
      "assertion": "Los fondos centrados en ingresos como JEPI y SCHD muestran la menor volatilidad, con ca\u00eddas de solo -0,47 % y -0,89 % respectivamente",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 1.3564839710273437, 'b': 0.7439606043209194}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "JP Morgan dijo que TSLA se iba a estrellar hasta los 185 el mes pasado",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "-11.522669732007992"
    },
    {
      "category": "Prediction",
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "assertion": "Este mes le subieron su precio objetivo y dijeron que est\u00e1n optimistas con TSLA",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "18.120769655094833"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "QQQM, SCHG",
      "assertion": "Both ETFs have shown similar long-term performance",
      "direction": "neutral",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 7.467948717948736}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SCHG, QQQM",
      "assertion": "SCHG offers lower expense ratio",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 7.467948717948736, 'b': 14.848520663436156}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "QQQ, QQQM",
      "assertion": "QQQM has a lower expense ratio than QQQ",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "AVUV",
      "assertion": "If you believe the size and value premium is worth it, the fees justify themselves",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "0.0"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "NVDA",
      "assertion": "Los \u00edndices son claramente los que ganan",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "48.87762374301691"
    },
    {
      "category": "Performance",
      "ticker": "VOO, VTI",
      "assertion": "VOO/VTI han estado superando a mis acciones en lo que va del a\u00f1o",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 23.00454948625758}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SCHD, VOO",
      "assertion": "SCHD is the one that is truly going in a different direction",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "correct",
      "outcome": "{'a': 28.59243128140454, 'b': 23.48621713973409}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VOO, SPY",
      "assertion": "VOO has a cheaper MER option for buy and hold",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 25.5941808339677}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "VOO, SPY",
      "assertion": "VOO has a lower expense ratio than SPY",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 25.5941808339677}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "SPY, VOO",
      "assertion": "If you have $10,000 invested, the expense ratio difference between SPY and VOO is $6",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': 25.5941808339677, 'b': 23.48621713973409}"
    },
    {
      "category": "Comparison",
      "ticker": "MSFT, META, TSLA",
      "assertion": "msft, meta y tsla parece que corrigieron mucho m\u00e1s en comparaci\u00f3n con aapl, NVDA y Googl",
      "direction": "bearish",
      "verdict": "incorrect",
      "outcome": "{'a': -12.050166708201694, 'b': -14.229953777567191}"
    }
  ]
}