Prediction Track Record
Every signal is a logged prediction with a verdict checked on its own horizon. A signal earns influence only once it predicts over a real sample — so we tier them, and lead with what actually works. Small n means small n.
11 validated 56% hit-rate · n=2,633 pooled 44% incl. retired+small-n
Validated — proven forward edge
Hit-rate ≥ 52% over ≥ 30 graded predictions. These earn influence.
| Signal | Hit rate | Resolved (n) | Correct |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality Value Medium | 64% | 81 | 52 |
| Online Growth Fade | 62% | 42 | 26 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Long | 59% | 776 | 460 |
| Feature Analyst Sentiment Fundamental Reality Gap | 58% | 36 | 21 |
| Online Performance Fade | 58% | 88 | 51 |
| Feature Valuation Credibility Decay Composite | 58% | 33 | 19 |
| Feature Valuation Sustainability Gap | 57% | 35 | 20 |
| Online Growth Fade | 54% | 142 | 77 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Long | 54% | 1018 | 546 |
| Online Yield Follow | 53% | 51 | 27 |
| Earnings Catalyst | 52% | 331 | 173 |
Under test — no verdict yet
Too few graded predictions (n < 30), or a coin-flip with no edge either way. Not trusted until they prove out.
| Signal | Hit rate | Resolved (n) | Correct |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pe Sector Reversion Short | 52% | 1287 | 663 |
| Quality Value Medium | 52% | 860 | 445 |
| Garp Long | 49% | 497 | 244 |
| Analyst Consensus Extreme | 50% | 196 | 99 |
| Confluence | 51% | 146 | 74 |
| Short Squeeze | 49% | 122 | 60 |
| Confluence | 49% | 90 | 44 |
| Earnings Catalyst | 49% | 83 | 41 |
| Online Comparison Fade | 51% | 78 | 40 |
| Insider Analyst Divergence | 48% | 58 | 28 |
| Feature Cash Ratio Total Assets | 46% | 22 | 10 |
| Llm Synthesis 7D | 48% | 21 | 10 |
| Online Erosion Fade | 33% | 21 | 7 |
| Mined Momentum 10D | 31% | 16 | 5 |
| Mined Ps Ratio | 56% | 16 | 9 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Ratio | 44% | 16 | 7 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Growth Multiplier | 44% | 16 | 7 |
| Feature Valuation Growth Quality Reality Compression | 31% | 16 | 5 |
| Mined Llm Derived Volatility 20D Product Momentum 5D | 19% | 16 | 3 |
| Feature Valuation Sustainability Gap | 62% | 16 | 10 |
| Feature Valuation Credibility Decay Composite | 62% | 16 | 10 |
| Feature Analyst Sentiment Fundamental Reality Gap | 62% | 16 | 10 |
| Mined Pb Ratio | 47% | 15 | 7 |
| Feature Valuation To Growth Credibility Mismatch | 33% | 15 | 5 |
| Online Yield Follow | 73% | 15 | 11 |
| Mined Rd Intensity Pct | 43% | 14 | 6 |
| Feature Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 57% | 14 | 8 |
| Mined Volatility 20D | 31% | 13 | 4 |
| Mined Llm Derived Volatility 20D Product Momentum 5D | 0% | 13 | 0 |
| Mined Price Vs Sma20 | 42% | 12 | 5 |
| Mined Llm Derived Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 67% | 12 | 8 |
| Mined Momentum 20D | 36% | 11 | 4 |
| Feature Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin Pct | 46% | 11 | 5 |
| Mined Fcf Margin Pct | 46% | 11 | 5 |
| Short Squeeze | 64% | 11 | 7 |
| Mined Sbc Intensity Pct | 50% | 10 | 5 |
| Mined Ps Ratio | 40% | 10 | 4 |
| Mined Pb Ratio | 40% | 10 | 4 |
| Mined Momentum 10D | 11% | 9 | 1 |
| Mined Sbc Intensity Pct | 33% | 9 | 3 |
| Dividend Growth Long | 62% | 8 | 5 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Liabilities Ratio Shares Outstanding | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Ratio | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Growth Multiplier | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Valuation Growth Quality Reality Compression | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 38% | 8 | 3 |
| Feature Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin Pct | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Growth Valuation Quality Mismatch | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Feature Earnings Yield Pct Product Revenue Growth Pct | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Mined Fcf Margin Pct | 50% | 8 | 4 |
| Mined Pe Ratio | 71% | 7 | 5 |
| Feature Insider Capitulation To Eps Sentiment Reality Score | 14% | 7 | 1 |
| Mined Volatility 20D | 29% | 7 | 2 |
| Feature Ps Ratio Diff Roe Pct | 43% | 7 | 3 |
| Mined Llm Derived Ps Ratio Diff Roe Pct | 57% | 7 | 4 |
| Mined Revenue Growth Pct | 33% | 6 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Assets | 83% | 6 | 5 |
| Feature Analyst Reality Collapse Severity Index | 67% | 6 | 4 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Liabilities Ratio Shares Outstanding | 50% | 6 | 3 |
| Feature Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pct | 33% | 6 | 2 |
| Feature Margin Sustainability Confidence Gap | 33% | 6 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Ps Ratio Diff Roe Pct | 50% | 6 | 3 |
| Mined Llm Derived Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 83% | 6 | 5 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Diff Debt To | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earning | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pc | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Rev | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Operating In | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Diff Total Assets | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Net Income | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Shares Outst | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Eps E | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Eps Diff Total Assets | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Long Term De | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Ps Ratio | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Earnings Yie | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Revenue Grow | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Total Liab | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Product Momentum | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Volatility 20D Product Momentu | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Momentum 5D | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Eps Diff Momentum 5D | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Diff Moment | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Mom | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Shares Outst | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Total Liabil | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Long Term De | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Shares Out | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Roe Pct | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Net Income | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Feature Analyst Credibility Anchor | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Mined Price Vs Sma20 | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Feature Growth Quality Margin Cliff Risk | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Ratio Shares Outstanding | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Mined Pe Ratio | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Mined Gross Margin Pct | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Mined Earnings Yield Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Cash Product Momentum 5D | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Diff Debt To | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earning | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pc | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Rev | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Diff Total Assets | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Ps Ratio | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Earnings Yie | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Revenue Grow | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Roe Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Volatility 20D Product Momentu | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Diff Moment | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Mom | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Momentum 5D | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Total Liabil | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Shares Outst | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Long Term De | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Ratio Shares Outs | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Liabilities Ratio Shares | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total A | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Total Assets Diff | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Ass | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Product Net In | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue R | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Net Income | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Assets | 75% | 4 | 3 |
| Feature Analyst Reality Collapse Severity Index | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Insider Capitulation To Eps Sentiment Reality Score | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Mined Days To Cover | 75% | 4 | 3 |
| Mined Momentum 20D | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Valuation Sentiment Quality Disconnect Score | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Feature Ps Ratio Diff Roe Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation To Growth Credibility Mismatch | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Feature Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earnings Yield Pct | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation To Growth Credibility Mismatch | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Growth Sustainability Margin Cliff Composite | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earnings Yield Pct | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Feature Growth Quality Margin Cliff Risk | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Volatility 20D Product Momentum 5D | 75% | 4 | 3 |
| Feature Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Valuation Sentiment Quality Disconnect Score | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Feature Valuation Quality Compression Ratio | 100% | 4 | 4 |
| Feature Margin Sustainability Confidence Gap | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Growth Valuation Quality Mismatch | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Earnings Yield Pct Product Revenue Growth Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pct | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Feature Valuation Quality Compression Ratio | 100% | 4 | 4 |
| Feature Revenue Growth Pct Ratio Debt To Equity | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Feature Revenue Growth Pct Diff Debt To Equity | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Macro Event Volatility | 100% | 3 | 3 |
| Combo Cash Diff Total Assets | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Assets | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Total | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Liabilities | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Ratio Shares Outs | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Liabilities | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Total Assets | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Feature Analyst Credibility Anchor | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Analyst Consensus Bullish Pct | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Feature Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Stress To Earnings Ratio | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Growth Quality Reality Compression | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Ratio Shares Outstanding | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Stress To Earnings Ratio | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Growth Quality Reality Compression | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Feature Revenue Growth Pct Ratio Debt To Equity | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Feature Revenue Growth Pct Diff Debt To Equity | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Mined Accruals Ratio | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Accruals Ratio | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Mined Momentum 60D | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Momentum 60D | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Combo Total Liabilities Ratio Shares | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Revenue | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Net I | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Eps E | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Product Momentum | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Total Liab | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Shares Out | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Product Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Liabilities | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Long Term De | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Shares Outst | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Operating In | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Diff Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Total | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Revenue | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Net I | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockhold | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Stockholders Equit | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Insider Analyst Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment To Fundamentals Reality Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Earnings Disconnect Severity | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Disconnect | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Earnings Reality Credibility Composite | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamental Credibility Divergence | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Reality Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Compression Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Reality Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Decay Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Sustainability Tax | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Credibility Erosion Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Collapse Signal | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Fade Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Liabilities | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Total Assets | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Net Income | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Ass | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Total Assets Diff | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Stockholders Equit | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Product Net In | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue D | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockhold | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total A | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue R | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Net Income | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Insider Analyst Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment To Fundamentals Reality Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Earnings Disconnect Severity | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Disconnect | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Earnings Reality Credibility Composite | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamental Credibility Divergence | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Reality Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Compression Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Reality Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Decay Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Sustainability Tax | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Credibility Erosion Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Collapse Signal | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Fade Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Price Vs Sma2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Volatility 2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Diff Volatility 2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Volatility 20 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Shares Outstanding | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Long Term Debt | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Shares Outstanding | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Long Term Debt | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Feature Growth Sustainability Margin Cliff Composite | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Sentiment Quality Disconnect Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Stress To Earnings Growth Multiplier | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin Pct | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Net Margin Pct | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Sentiment Quality Disconnect Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Stress To Earnings Growth Multiplier | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Debt To Equity | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pct | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Debt To Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Net Margin Pct | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Macro Pce Cool | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Live Trade Macro Pce | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Anchor | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamentals Disconnect | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Price Vs Sma20 Diff Volatility | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Price Vs Sma | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Momentum 5D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Net Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Operating Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Operating Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Net Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Momentum 5D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Price Vs Sma2 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Volatility 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Diff Volatility 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Volatility 20 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Ratio Price Vs Sm | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamentals Disconnect | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Price Vs Sma20 Diff Volatility | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Price Vs Sma | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Ratio Price Vs Sm | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Macro Inflation Cool | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Anchor | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Macro Inflation Cool | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Feature Volatility 20D Product Momentum 5D | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Derived Yield | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Roe Pct | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Sustainability Gap | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Valuation Credibility Decay Composite | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin Pct | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pct | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Revenue Growth Pct | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Insider Analyst Divergence | 0% | 1 | 0 |
Retired — anti-predictive
Hit-rate ≤ 48% over a real sample. We do not let these drive predictions; where the signal is reliably wrong, the engine gates or inverts it.
| Signal | Hit rate | Resolved (n) | Correct |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llm Synthesis | 12% | 2091 | 253 |
| Online Erosion Fade | 39% | 51 | 20 |
| Feature Valuation To Growth Credibility Mismatch | 39% | 33 | 13 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Short | 41% | 594 | 245 |
| Online Comparison Fade | 43% | 91 | 39 |
| Momentum Continuation | 43% | 392 | 170 |
| Feature Cash Ratio Total Assets | 46% | 43 | 20 |
| Momentum Continuation | 47% | 2889 | 1361 |
| Online Performance Fade | 48% | 324 | 155 |
Why not a single headline number? A pooled hit-rate blends proven edges with anti-predictive and tiny-sample signals — so the honest KPI is the validated tier, not the pool. Verdicts are market-relative, horizon-pinned, and traceable to reconciled multi-source prices. See methodology.