Prediction Track Record
Every signal is a logged prediction with a verdict checked on its own horizon. A signal earns influence only by predicting — and we show the sample size so you can judge how much to trust it. Small n means small n.
Forward-tested hit rates
| Signal | Hit rate | Resolved (n) | Correct |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pe Sector Reversion Short | 50% | 531 | 267 |
| Momentum Continuation | 45% | 394 | 177 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Long | 66% | 242 | 160 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Short | 34% | 238 | 82 |
| Quality Value Medium | 56% | 119 | 67 |
| Garp Long | 54% | 65 | 35 |
| Online Comparison Fade | 32% | 37 | 12 |
| Online Performance Fade | 47% | 34 | 16 |
| Pe Sector Reversion Long | 47% | 32 | 15 |
| Analyst Consensus Extreme | 25% | 24 | 6 |
| Online Growth Fade | 58% | 19 | 11 |
| Earnings Catalyst | 44% | 18 | 8 |
| Short Squeeze | 62% | 16 | 10 |
| Earnings Catalyst | 42% | 12 | 5 |
| Mined Momentum 10D | 33% | 9 | 3 |
| Mined Price Vs Sma20 | 25% | 8 | 2 |
| Mined Momentum 20D | 25% | 8 | 2 |
| Mined Volatility 20D | 12% | 8 | 1 |
| Feature Insider Capitulation To Eps Sentiment Reality Score | 14% | 7 | 1 |
| Feature Cash Ratio Total Assets | 29% | 7 | 2 |
| Mined Rd Intensity Pct | 67% | 6 | 4 |
| Feature Analyst Reality Collapse Severity Index | 67% | 6 | 4 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Diff Debt To | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earning | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pc | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Rev | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Operating In | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Diff Total Assets | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Net Income | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Shares Outst | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Eps E | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Eps Diff Total Assets | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Long Term De | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Ps Ratio | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Earnings Yie | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Revenue Grow | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Total Liab | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Product Momentum | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Volatility 20D Product Momentu | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Momentum 5D | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Eps Diff Momentum 5D | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Diff Moment | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Mom | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Shares Outst | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Total Liabil | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Long Term De | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Shares Out | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Roe Pct | 40% | 5 | 2 |
| Feature Analyst Credibility Anchor | 60% | 5 | 3 |
| Mined Gross Margin Pct | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Mined Pb Ratio | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Mined Ps Ratio | 75% | 4 | 3 |
| Combo Cash Product Momentum 5D | 25% | 4 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Net Income | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Assets | 100% | 4 | 4 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Diff Debt To | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Gross Margin | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Gross Margin Pct Ratio Earning | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Revenue Growth Pc | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Ps Ratio Diff Debt To Equity | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Roe Pct Diff Gross Margin Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Rev | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Diff Total Assets | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Ps Ratio | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Earnings Yie | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Revenue Grow | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Roe Pct | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Volatility 20D Product Momentu | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Diff Moment | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Earnings Yield Pct Product Mom | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Pe Ratio Product Momentum 5D | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Total Liabil | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Shares Outst | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Long Term De | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Ratio Shares Outs | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Total Liabilities Ratio Shares | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total A | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Total Assets Diff | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Ass | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Product Net In | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue R | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Analyst Reality Collapse Severity Index | 50% | 4 | 2 |
| Feature Cash Ratio Total Assets | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Feature Insider Capitulation To Eps Sentiment Reality Score | 0% | 4 | 0 |
| Combo Cash Diff Total Assets | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Assets | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Total | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Liabilities | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Combo Total Assets Ratio Shares Outs | 67% | 3 | 2 |
| Feature Analyst Credibility Anchor | 33% | 3 | 1 |
| Mined Analyst Consensus Bullish Pct | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Llm Synthesis 7D | 100% | 3 | 3 |
| Online Erosion Fade | 0% | 3 | 0 |
| Macro Event Volatility | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Revenue Growth Pct | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Pe Ratio | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Earnings Yield Pct | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Total Liabilities Ratio Shares | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Revenue | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Ratio Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Net I | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Dividend Growth Long | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Liabilities Ratio Shares Outstanding | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Liabilities | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Eps E | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Product Momentum | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Total Liab | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Product Shares Out | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Product Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Liabilities | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Long Term De | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Shares Outst | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Operating In | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Cash Diff Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Total Assets Diff Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Total Assets | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Total | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Product Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Revenue | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Stockholders Equity Diff Net I | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockhold | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Stockholders Equit | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Insider Analyst Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment To Fundamentals Reality Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Earnings Disconnect Severity | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Disconnect | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Earnings Reality Credibility Composite | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamental Credibility Divergence | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Reality Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Compression Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Reality Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Decay Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Sustainability Tax | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Credibility Erosion Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Collapse Signal | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Fade Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Net Income | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Assets | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Ass | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Total Assets Diff | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Stockholders Equit | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Product Net In | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue D | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockhold | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total A | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue R | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 100% | 2 | 2 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Net Income | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Insider Analyst Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment To Fundamentals Reality Score | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Earnings Disconnect Severity | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Disconnect | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Sentiment Earnings Reality Credibility Composite | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamental Credibility Divergence | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Reality Credibility Collapse Ratio | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Gap | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Credibility Compression Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Reality Collapse Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Reality Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Decay Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Sustainability Tax | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Credibility Erosion Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Reality Collapse Signal | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Conviction Fade Index | 0% | 2 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Momentum 5D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Price Vs Sma2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Volatility 2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Diff Volatility 2 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Volatility 20 | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Days To Cover | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Mined Volatility 20D | 50% | 2 | 1 |
| Macro Pce Cool | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Live Trade Macro Pce | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Liabilities Ratio Shares Outstanding | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Total Liabilities | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Stockholders Equity Diff Total Assets | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Stockholders Equity | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Product Net Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Revenue | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Credibility Anchor | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamentals Disconnect | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Price Vs Sma20 Diff Volatility | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Price Vs Sma | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Momentum 10D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Momentum 20D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Shares Outstanding | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Long Term Debt | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Momentum 5D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Price Vs Sma20 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Shares Outstanding | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Long Term Debt | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Net Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Operating Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Operating Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Eps Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Total Assets Diff Net Income | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Diff Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Mined Llm Derived Cash Ratio Total Assets | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Momentum 5D | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Price Vs Sma2 | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 10D Diff Volatility 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Diff Volatility 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Diff Volatility 20 | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Ratio Price Vs Sm | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Ratio | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Feature Valuation To Growth Credibility Mismatch | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Feature Valuation Stress To Earnings Growth Multiplier | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Mined Llm Derived Analyst Sentiment Vs Fundamentals Disconnect | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Price Vs Sma20 Diff Volatility | 100% | 1 | 1 |
| Combo Momentum 5D Ratio Price Vs Sma | 0% | 1 | 0 |
| Combo Momentum 20D Ratio Price Vs Sm | 100% | 1 | 1 |
Verdicts are market-relative (vs. the benchmark over the same window), horizon-pinned, and traceable to reconciled multi-source prices. See methodology.