FundVista

Internet Assertion Accuracy

We extract testable claims from public internet discussion, then grade each one against real, multi-source market data on its stated horizon. Categories differ sharply — some hold up, many don't.

Accuracy by category

CategoryAccuracyGraded (n)Correct
Performance29% 497146
Comparison38% 26499
Prediction57% 182104
Erosion22% 10323
Yield76% 10177
Growth22% 4510
Tax41% 3213

Recent graded assertions

Anonymized and source-agnostic. Each row: the claim, the direction it implied, and whether it held up against the actual move.

CategoryTickerThe assertionDirectionVerdictWhat happened
ErosionTTDSBC se está comiendo el 100% del [earnings/value]bearish✓ held upTrue
PredictionTSLAARK's Price Target for Tesla in 2025 is $3,000 Per Sharebullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
PredictionTSLAARK predicts an 85% chance of Tesla launching robotaxis by 2026bullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
PredictionTSLAMy model predicts 7.1 million EVs in 2026bullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
PredictionTSLA$10k around 2027 is likely to happenbullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
PredictionTSLAARK's Expected Value For Tesla In 2026: $4,600 per Sharebullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
ComparisonIAU, GLD15% Oro (como sea: realmente físico, ETFs de IAU/Gld, alquiler)bullish✗ wrong{'a': -20.810559967000096, 'b': 28.33497536945812}
ComparisonVIG, VTI, VOOVIG has basically the same characteristics as VOO, and is more expensive than VTI due to weights in companies like apple and Microsoftbearish✓ held up{'a': 6.115140525838626, 'b': 23.00454948625758}
ComparisonAMD, NVDAAMD está cotizando a ~155 veces sus ganancias después de una caída enorme, mientras que NVIDIA cotiza a 31xbearish✗ wrong{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}
ComparisonAMD, NVDA, ADBEAMD y NVDA básicamente les robaron participación de mercadobullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonQQQM, QQQQQQM es QQQ con un ratio de gastos más bajobullish✗ wrong{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 35.49364389377326}
ComparisonNVDA, AMDNvidia is now chasing AMD, attempting to launch its own CPUsbearish✓ held up{'a': 48.87762374301691, 'b': 294.2410103691049}
PerformanceAMDAMD's price has massively decoupled from expectationsbearish✗ wrong294.2410103691049
PerformanceVOOwhen I recommend ETFs, it is mainly because of the past performance of that ETFneutral✗ wrong23.48621713973409
PredictionAMD, INTCanalysts are optimistic about continued share gains in server CPUs against Intelbullish✓ held up294.2410103691049
PredictionAMD, NVDAAMD to emerge as the clear #2 player in data center GPUs behind Nvidiabullish✓ held up294.2410103691049
ComparisonAMD, NVDAAMD has more explosive revenue and profit growthbullish✓ held up{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}
ComparisonAMD, NVDANVDA has significantly more cash assets and goodwillbearish✗ wrong{'a': 294.2410103691049, 'b': 48.87762374301691}
PredictionSCHD, JEPISCHD has a better capital appreciation chance long-termbullish✓ held up28.59243128140454
PerformanceSCHD, SPYSCHD está inusualmente un 10% por arriba del S&P500 en lo que va del añobullish✓ held up{'a': 28.59243128140454, 'b': 25.5941808339677}
ComparisonJEPQ, QQQIyo consideraría QQQI si es una cuenta imponiblebullish✗ wrong{'a': 22.664376138741616, 'b': 25.505188692243706}
ComparisonSCHD, SCHGSCHD is better suited for people who are already close to retirement and want dividend income, not for young peoplebullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonSCHG, SCHDSCHG is more risky than SCHDbearish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonSCHD, JEPIIf you're still far from retirement, you can flip it around and put 60 percent into SCHD and then 40 into JEPIbullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
PerformanceSCHD, JEPIyour underlying investment value in SCHD will outpace that of JEPI, especially given the difference in expense ratiosbullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonVUG, VOOGVUG is a little more diversified than VOOGbullish✗ wrong{'a': 8.908781719347814, 'b': 11.470892180502931}
ComparisonVOO, VUGIf you want to lean more towards growth from a balanced VOO, it is logical to add VUG on top of VOObullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonVOO, VUG, QQQMany people add VUG (or QQQ) on top of VOO for growth purposesbullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ErosionVUGBe careful with historical returns as VUG has switched its benchmark a handful of times over the yearsbearish✗ wrongFalse
PerformanceAMD300% de ganancias en mi inversión en AMDbullish✗ wrong294.2410103691049
ComparisonNVDA, AMDNi siquiera he ganado la mitad de beneficios con Nvidia de los que he sacado con AMDbullish✗ wrong{'a': 48.87762374301691, 'b': 294.2410103691049}
PerformanceSCHDSCHD had decent growth of 1-2% per monthbullish✓ held up0.0
ComparisonVTI, VXUSVTI has more technology exposure than VXUSbullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
ComparisonJAAA, CLOZ, DIVOJAAA, CLOZ, DIVO, JEPI, SCHD have lower beta than the S&P 500bullish✗ wrong{'a': -0.23673308344842092, 'b': 0.19047619047619319}
ComparisonQQQM, QQQQQQM follows the same Nasdaq 100 index but costs 15 basis pointsbullish✗ wrong{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 35.49364389377326}
PerformanceVOOVOO net return is 9.97% after expensesbullish✗ wrong23.48621713973409
PerformanceJEPI, SCHDLos fondos centrados en ingresos como JEPI y SCHD muestran la menor volatilidad, con caídas de solo -0,47 % y -0,89 % respectivamentebullish✓ held up{'a': 1.3564839710273437, 'b': 0.7439606043209194}
PredictionTSLAJP Morgan dijo que TSLA se iba a estrellar hasta los 185 el mes pasadobearish✓ held up-11.522669732007992
PredictionTSLAEste mes le subieron su precio objetivo y dijeron que están optimistas con TSLAbullish✓ held up18.120769655094833
PerformanceQQQM, SCHGBoth ETFs have shown similar long-term performanceneutral✗ wrong{'a': 14.848520663436156, 'b': 7.467948717948736}
ComparisonSCHG, QQQMSCHG offers lower expense ratiobullish✗ wrong{'a': 7.467948717948736, 'b': 14.848520663436156}
ComparisonQQQ, QQQMQQQM has a lower expense ratio than QQQbullish✗ wrong{'a': 0.0, 'b': 0.0}
PerformanceAVUVIf you believe the size and value premium is worth it, the fees justify themselvesbullish✗ wrong0.0
PerformanceNVDALos índices son claramente los que gananbullish✓ held up48.87762374301691
PerformanceVOO, VTIVOO/VTI han estado superando a mis acciones en lo que va del añobullish✓ held up{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 23.00454948625758}
ComparisonSCHD, VOOSCHD is the one that is truly going in a different directionbullish✓ held up{'a': 28.59243128140454, 'b': 23.48621713973409}
ComparisonVOO, SPYVOO has a cheaper MER option for buy and holdbullish✗ wrong{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 25.5941808339677}
ComparisonVOO, SPYVOO has a lower expense ratio than SPYbullish✗ wrong{'a': 23.48621713973409, 'b': 25.5941808339677}
ComparisonSPY, VOOIf you have $10,000 invested, the expense ratio difference between SPY and VOO is $6bearish✗ wrong{'a': 25.5941808339677, 'b': 23.48621713973409}
ComparisonMSFT, META, TSLAmsft, meta y tsla parece que corrigieron mucho más en comparación con aapl, NVDA y Googlbearish✗ wrong{'a': -12.050166708201694, 'b': -14.229953777567191}

Show the work

Method: claims are extracted by an LLM, then verified horizon-pinned and market-relative against reconciled multi-source prices. Every number on this site traces to its sources — see methodology.

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